Kalshi · Climate & weather
Kalshi Climate & weather markets ending soon
Kalshi's climate markets resolve against official NOAA, NWS, and NHC data. Daily temperature contracts (e.g. "Will the high in NYC exceed 75°F today?") settle every afternoon, hurricane landfall and intensity contracts settle on storm dissipation, and monthly snowfall contracts settle at month-end. Because NOAA data is unambiguous, settlement risk is near zero — the entire edge is in the YES + NO ask spread, which routinely undercuts $1.00 in the final hour.
0 open contracts0 with arb edge right nowUpdated every minute
No climate & weather markets are closing in the next 48 hours. Check back later or browse the full open book.
Other Kalshi categories ending soon
- Kalshi SportsNFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, soccer, World Cup, F1, UFC, golf — every Kalshi sports contract closing soon.
- Kalshi PoliticsElections, primaries, congressional votes, executive actions, and policy decisions — every Kalshi politics contract closing soon.
- Kalshi EconomicsFed rate decisions, CPI prints, jobs reports, GDP releases, and treasury auctions — every Kalshi economics contract closing soon.
- Kalshi CryptoBitcoin and Ethereum price level contracts, ETF approval contracts, and SEC enforcement event contracts.
- Kalshi EntertainmentBox office, award show winners, music chart positions, and TV rating contracts.
- Kalshi Science & techSpaceX launches, NASA milestones, AI benchmark contracts, and tech-product launch contracts.
- Kalshi World affairsInternational elections, foreign policy events, and global conflict resolution contracts.
FAQ
- What counts as a "climate & weather" market on Kalshi?
- Kalshi tags every event contract with a category. We bucket "climate", "weather", "temperature", "hurricane", "storm" into the Climate & weather group on this page. The list is rebuilt every minute from Kalshi's public API.
- How fresh are these prices?
- The page is server-rendered and re-fetches Kalshi YES/NO ask, open interest, and 24h volume every minute from the public /trade-api/v2/events endpoint.
- Why are some YES + NO sums below 100¢?
- Because Kalshi runs a continuous order book and market makers don't always quote both sides simultaneously. When the YES_ask + NO_ask drops below 100¢, you can buy both legs as taker orders and lock in a guaranteed payout of $1.00 per pair (minus per-contract fees). KalshiArb scans every market continuously and alerts you the instant the gap appears.
- Does KalshiArb cover climate & weather markets?
- Yes — every open Kalshi market is in scope. The Kalshi Arbitrage Bot ($39/mo, launch pricing) sends Telegram + Discord alerts the moment YES + NO < 100¢. The Autonomous AI Agent ($79/mo) executes both legs for you using your own API key.