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KALSHI Mechanics

Settlement Price

The final per-contract value used to determine payouts at resolution (usually $1 for a winning side, $0 for the losing side).

Detailed explanation

Settlement price is the value Kalshi uses to settle each binary contract when an event resolves. Each contract pays out at $1 to the winning side and $0 to the losing side, so the settlement price effectively marks which side wins. The settlement is determined by Kalshi’s resolution rule (data source or ruling), not by an external oracle, and affects only payouts, not the trading price during the contract’s life. Traders should understand that settlement is USD-based and that price movement during the contract’s life is separate from the final settlement outcome.

Worked example

If you own both YES and NO contracts on a single event and it resolves YES, you receive $1 for the YES contract and $0 for the NO contract. If you bought YES at 42¢ and NO at 56¢ (sum 98¢), your total cost is 0.98. Your edge upon settlement is $0.02 minus fees if the YES outcome occurs.

FAQ

What is the settlement price for Kalshi binary contracts?
In Kalshi, settlement results in $1 to the winning side and $0 to the losing side; the settlement price is effectively the $1 payout for the winning contract and $0 for the loser.
How is the settlement determined?
Settlement is determined by Kalshi’s resolution rule, which specifies the data source and threshold. It is not торговли by any oracle and is final per Kalshi’s rules.
Does settlement price affect my tradable price during the contract’s life?
No. The settlement price affects only payouts at resolution; intramarket prices reflect current supply/demand and are separate from final settlement values.

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